3 Jul · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1508
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sukovatyi
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1571
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
🌟Konkulovskyi stays under total as underdog 71% (42)
Fair odds · Sukovatyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H26-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-23)