3 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1484
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kovarik
MK
🇺🇦Matej Kovarik
ELO 1486
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Liska covers set handicap as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Kovarik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.