3 Jul · 12:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1595
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mezera
LP
🇺🇦Lukas Provaznik
ELO 1574
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Provaznik covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Mezera
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H19-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.