3 Jul · 12:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1524
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volynets
OV
🇺🇦Oleh Volynets
ELO 1533
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Volynets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H55-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.