3 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1490
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skhabitskiy
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1448
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Stukalov covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.