3 Jul · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Mykhailo Vivatenko
ELO 1527
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vivatenko
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1453
FormWLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Vivatenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H18-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-7)