3 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1458
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skhabitskiy
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1490
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
🌟Leonenko goes over total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H20-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.