3 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1465
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1497
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kubos🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (17)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.