3 Jul · 12:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1554
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Derevianko
YS
🇺🇦Yevhen Skorobahatyi
ELO 1512
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Derevianko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H18-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.