3 Jul · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1664
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Maksymiv
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1599
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pohonov🌟Maksymiv rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (42)
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H19-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-13)