3 Jul · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Makara
ELO 1596
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Makara
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1572
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Makara
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.