3 Jul · 12:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1562
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Radkovsky
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1636
FormLWLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)