3 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1485
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1497
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorel🌟Vorel covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H37-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.