3 Jul · 13:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1595
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mezera
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1562
FormWWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Mezera
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H27-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.