3 Jul · 10:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1537
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kuzyshyn
YS
🇺🇦Yevhen Skorobahatyi
ELO 1512
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kuzyshyn
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.