3 Jul · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1616
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Romanenko
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1599
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Pohonov covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Romanenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H11-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.