3 Jul · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1524
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1577
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H48-73
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)