3 Jul · 11:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1455
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1602
FormLWWLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+147
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)