3 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1448
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kondratenko
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1451
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kondratenko🌟Stukalov covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Kondratenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.