3 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ID
🇺🇦Ihor Dubinin
ELO 1510
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dubinin
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1477
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Dubinin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.