3 Jul · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1556
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Fashchevskyi
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1531
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H12-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.