3 Jul · 15:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Vladimir Voronenko
ELO 1480
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Marushchak
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1539
FormLLWWW
44%
56%
🌟Voronenko covers set handicap as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H39-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-24)