3 Jul · 18:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇺🇦Vladimir Voronenko
ELO 1480
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mishchenko
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1505
FormLWLLL
47%
53%
🌟Voronenko covers set handicap as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Mishchenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H33-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.