3 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotiash
ELO 1498
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Smyk
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1528
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Smyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H15-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.