3 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1477
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tsys
RH
🇺🇦Roman Hryhoriev
ELO 1448
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Tsys
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.