3 Jul · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1505
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hrabskyi
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1539
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Hrabskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Hrabskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H13-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.