3 Jul · 17:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1505
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Marushchak
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1539
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Mishchenko stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H22-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.