3 Jul · 16:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1552
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Prus
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1531
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Prus stays under total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Prus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.