3 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ID
🇺🇦Ihor Dubinin
ELO 1510
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dubinin
RH
🇺🇦Roman Hryhoriev
ELO 1448
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Dubinin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H20-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)