3 Jul · 15:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chelpanov
ELO 1477
FormLLWWL
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Dukhovenko
OD
🇺🇦Oleksandr Dukhovenko
ELO 1856
FormWWWWW
17%
83%
⚡ Cover lean · Dukhovenko🌟Dukhovenko covers set handicap as favourite 79% (39)
Fair odds · Dukhovenko
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~70 pts
0-3
44%
1-3
26%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+379
H2H62-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+379)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-22)