3 Jul · 16:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1511
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kravets
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1540
FormWWWLL
47%
53%
🌟Plishylo covers set handicap as underdog 71% (31)
Fair odds · Kravets
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H28-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.