3 Jul · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1560
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kozachuk
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1540
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kravets🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H22-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.