3 Jul · 19:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇺🇦Matej Kovarik
ELO 1486
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Makara
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1508
FormLLWLL
48%
52%
🌟Makara rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Makara
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.