3 Jul · 18:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ID
🇺🇦Ivan Demchenko
ELO 1530
FormLLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Dukhovenko
OD
🇺🇦Oleksandr Dukhovenko
ELO 1856
FormWWWWW
20%
80%
🌟Dukhovenko covers set handicap as favourite 79% (39)
Fair odds · Dukhovenko
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 67%Total ~70 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
25%
2-3
13%
3-2
9%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+326
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+326)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)