3 Jul · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1560
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kozachuk
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1511
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plishylo🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H43-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-31)