3 Jul · 19:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OD
🇺🇦Oleksandr Dukhovenko
ELO 1856
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dukhovenko
OH
🇺🇦Oleksii Hrymovskyi
ELO 1772
FormLWLWW
59%
41%
🌟Dukhovenko covers set handicap as favourite 79% (39)
Fair odds · Dukhovenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H103-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (103-31)