3 Jul · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1540
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rak
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1614
FormWWLLL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kravets🌟Rak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (29)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H26-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-8)