3 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KF
🇺🇦Karel Farsky
ELO 1509
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Farsky
PA
🇺🇦Petr Abraham
ELO 1508
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Abraham stays under total as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Farsky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H15-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.