3 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1560
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Romaniak
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1572
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kozachuk🌟Romaniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Romaniak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H18-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.