3 Jul · 18:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YK
🇺🇦Yevhenii Kryvorotko
ELO 1774
FormWWLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Kryvorotko
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chelpanov
ELO 1477
FormLLWWL
78%
22%
🌟Chelpanov rarely covers set handicap as underdog 22% (23)
Fair odds · Kryvorotko
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~72 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
18%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+297
H2H21-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+297)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-11)