3 Jul · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yevhenii Kryvorotko
ELO 1774
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dukhovenko
OD
🇺🇦Oleksandr Dukhovenko
ELO 1856
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Dukhovenko covers set handicap as favourite 79% (39)
Fair odds · Dukhovenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H30-65
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)