3 Jul · 17:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1540
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Romaniak
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1572
FormWLWLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kravets🌟Romaniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Romaniak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.