3 Jul · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ID
🇺🇦Ivan Demchenko
ELO 1530
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Demchenko
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chelpanov
ELO 1477
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
⚡ Cover lean · Demchenko🌟Chelpanov rarely covers set handicap as underdog 22% (23)
Fair odds · Demchenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)