3 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Baday
ELO 1888
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Baday
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fedoryshyn
ELO 1852
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Baday goes over total as favourite 67% (36)
Fair odds · Baday
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H80-70
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.