3 Jul · 17:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1465
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kubos
LS
🇺🇦Ludek Stoces
ELO 1438
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Stoces covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Kubos
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.