3 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇺🇦Jan Pina
ELO 1507
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Farsky
KF
🇺🇦Karel Farsky
ELO 1509
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Farsky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.