3 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1738
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Lushchyk
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1742
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H78-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.