3 Jul · 19:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Senk
ELO 1608
FormWWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Senk
JD
🇺🇦Josef Dolezal
ELO 1436
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Senk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+172
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)