3 Jul · 22:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1501
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lutsyshyn
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1524
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Lutsyshyn
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.