3 Jul · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Baday
ELO 1888
FormWLWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Baday
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1742
FormWLWWL
65%
35%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lushchyk🌟Lushchyk covers set handicap as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Baday
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+146
H2H99-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (99-5)